Sam Houston St. Bearkats vs Liberty Flames Prediction 10/5/2023 @ 7:00PM
Republished from SportsJaw.com
Liberty Favored to Take Down Struggling Sam Houston State in Conference USA Matchup
This Thursday, the Sam Houston State Bearkats will take on the Liberty Flames in an intriguing Conference USA matchup. Liberty is currently undefeated in conference play, while Sam Houston State is winless; the betting line is in Liberty’s favor at -18.5. The game will kick off at 7:00 ET from Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA.
Game Info
- When: Thursday, 10/5/2023 @ 7:00pm EST
- Where: Williams Stadium Stadium
Bearkats vs Flames Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Bearkats +650 | Flames -1005
- Spread: Bearkats +18.5 (-110) | Flames -18.5 (-110)
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-110)
- Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Liberty will win straight-up is 91%.
Sam Houston St. vs Liberty Score Prediction
Sam Houston St. Bearkats
The Sam Houston State Bearkats have had a disappointing start to the season, currently starting with an 0–4 record in their 10th year under head coach K.C. Keeler. Most recently, the Bearkats dropped an overtime affair at home to conference opponent Jacksonville State, losing 35–28 after allowing a game-tying touchdown with only 13 seconds remaining.
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Leading the offense has been senior Keegan Shoemaker who has completed 56.5% of his passes for 476 yards and only 2–4 touchdown-to-interception ratio so far. The ground game has not been much help either, with leading rusher John Gentry accumulating 133 yards on 45 carries (3.0 YPC).
The defense has been the main bright spot, currently ranked 55th in the country for allowing an average 25.0 points per game. However, Sam Houston State has given up game totals of 73 points over the last two weeks to Houston and Jacksonville State. In terms of yardage, the Bearkats are 49th, allowing 361.8 yards per contest.
Liberty Flames Analysis
Hugh Freeze put Liberty’s football program on the map during his tenure at the school (2019–2022), leading them to their first-ever ranking in school history. Now, with new head coach Jamey Chadwell at the helm, the Flames have continued their success in 2023. Kaidon Salter is leading the offense and is completing 57.6% of his passes for 919 yards and an 11/1 TD/INT ratio. He is also Liberty’s second-best rusher with 268 yards (47 carries, 5.7 YPC). Quinton Cooley (323 yards, 6.1 YPC) and Billy Lucas (244 yards, 6.3 YPC) are the two other standouts in the running game.
The Flames’ defense is particularly impressive as their allowing just 18.5 points per game, the 24th-best mark in the country. Likewise, they concede an average of 310.8 yards per game, ranking them 18th overall.
- #16 for offense (scoring an average of 40.00 per game)
- #33 for defense (giving up an average of 18.50 points per game)
- 4–0 (4–0 ATS) overall
Liberty Set to Take Down Struggling Sam Houston State with Dynamic Offense and Strong Defense
Liberty has been performing well and making strides towards national rankings, while Sam Houston State has been struggling to secure a game win. Liberty has a dynamic offense, notably three different runners with over 240 yards and Kaidon Salter, who has achieved 919 yards through the air and 11/1 TD/INT ratio. Sam Houston State’s defense has allowed 73 points over their last two games, leaving them at a disadvantage. Liberty has proven itself to be well-rounded and successful, with a 4–0 ATS record. I believe the Flames will build upon their lead and win by a large margin.
Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]
Written by MrmisterPublished on 10/03/2023 Category: NCAAF Picks
About the Author: I’ve been betting on sports my whole life. I actually placed 4th in the Golden Nugget contest in Vegas in 2005, and placed 3rd in the Reserve Casino Contest in Vegas in 2002. Still enjoy handicapping and glad I found this platform to share my picks.
